Using Bayesian networks to model watershed management decisions: an East Canyon Creek case study SHORT TITLE: Bayesian network modeling of watershed management decisions AUTHORS:
نویسندگان
چکیده
An approach to developing and using Bayesian networks to model watershed management decisions is presented with a case study application to phosphorous management in the East Canyon watershed in Northern Utah, USA. The Bayesian network analysis includes a graphical model of the key variables in the system and conditional and marginal probability distributions derived from a variety of data and information sources. The resulting model is used to 1) estimate the probability of meeting legal water quality requirements for phosphorous in East Canyon Creek under several management scenarios, and 2) estimate the probability of increased recreational use of East Canyon Reservo ir and subsequent revenue under these scenarios.
منابع مشابه
Using Bayesian networks to model watershed management decisions: an East Canyon Creek case study
Daniel P. Ames (corresponding author) Department of Geosciences, Idaho State University, Pocatello, Idaho 83209-8150, USA Tel: +1 208 282 7851; E-mail: [email protected] Bethany T. Neilson David K. Stevens Utah Water Research Laboratory, Utah State University, Logan, UT, 84322-8200, USA Upmanu Lall Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, 918 Seeley Mudd Building, Columbia University, ...
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